Actuarial Notes

Link Function

Study guides: Exam SRM, Exam MAS-I, Exam PCPA

A Link Function g is a monotone, differentiable function in a Generalized Linear Model that connects the expected value of the response \mu = E[Y] to the linear predictor \eta = \mathbf{x}^\top\boldsymbol{\beta}:

g(\mu) = \eta

= \beta_0 + \beta_1 x_1 + \cdots + \beta_p x_p

\mu = g^{-1}(\eta)

  • The canonical link is the natural link arising from the exponential family form of the distribution; it often leads to simpler inference
  • The choice of link function ensures that fitted means \hat{\mu} respect the support of Y (e.g., positivity for counts and severities)

Common link functions:

Name g(\mu) g^{-1}(\eta) Typical Use
Identity \mu \eta Normal regression
Log \ln\mu e^\eta Poisson (counts), Gamma (severity)
Logit \ln\!\frac{\mu}{1-\mu} \frac{e^\eta}{1+e^\eta} Binomial (binary outcomes)
Reciprocal 1/\mu 1/\eta Gamma (inverse)
Probit \Phi^{-1}(\mu) \Phi(\eta) Binary outcomes
  • The log link is standard for insurance severity and frequency models because it guarantees positive fitted values and allows multiplicative interpretation: a unit increase in x_j multiplies \mu by e^{\beta_j}

Interpreting a Log-Link Coefficient A Gamma GLM with log link models claim severity. The coefficient on the indicator for "sports car" is \hat{\beta} = 0.35. Interpret this coefficient.

Answer With a log link, \ln(\mu_{\text{sports}}) - \ln(\mu_{\text{non-sports}}) = 0.35, so \mu_{\text{sports}}/\mu_{\text{non-sports}} = e^{0.35} \approx 1.42. Sports cars are associated with expected claim severity that is approximately 42% higher than non-sports cars, holding all else equal.