Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 8 Fall 2013, Question 2

Study guide: Exam 8

An actuary at a private passenger auto insurance company wishes to use a generalized linear model to create an auto frequency model using the data below.

Number of Claims

Gender Territory A Territory B
Male 700 600
Female 400 420

Number of Exposures

Gender Territory A Territory B
Male 1,400 1,000
Female 1,000 1,200

The model will include three parameters: \beta_1, \beta_2, and \beta_3, where \beta_1 is the average frequency for males, \beta_2 is the average frequency for Territory A, and \beta_3 is an intercept.

Part a (0.5 points)

Define the design matrix [X].

Part b (0.25 points)

Define the vector of responses [Y].

Part c (2.25 points)

Assuming \beta_3 = 0.35, solve a generalized linear model with a normal error structure and identity link function for \beta_1.

Part d (0.5 points)

The actuary determines that the analysis results would be improved by assuming a Poisson error structure with a log link function. Identify two reasons this structure may better suit this data.

Answer this question and see the worked solution

Concepts tested

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