Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Fall 2019, Question 26

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

A number of candidate models were fit using the following variables:

  • An intercept term
  • Variable A – a Yes/No indicator
  • Variable B – a Yes/No indicator
  • An interaction of Variables A and B

There are four observations, which were arranged into the following design matrix:

X = \begin{bmatrix} 1 & 0 & 0 & 0 \\ 1 & 1 & 0 & 0 \\ 1 & 0 & 1 & 0 \\ 1 & 1 & 1 & 1 \end{bmatrix}

This data was fit using three different link functions:

  • I. Identity
  • II. Inverse
  • III. Log

The predicted values, given below, were the same under all three models:

\hat{Y} = \begin{bmatrix} 0.50 \\ 0.80 \\ 0.40 \\ 0.70 \end{bmatrix}

Determine for which of the above link functions the estimated interaction coefficient is non-zero.

  • A) Identity, Inverse and Log
  • B) Identity and Inverse only
  • C) Identity and Log only
  • D) Inverse and Log only
  • E) The answer is not given by (A), (B), (C) or (D)

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