Actuarial Notes

Quota Share

Study guide: Exam 9

Quota Share is a proportional treaty in which the reinsurer takes a fixed percentage a of the premium and of every loss (usually including ALAE) on a defined book. In return it pays the cedant a ceding commission for the expenses the cedant incurred to write the business.

\begin{aligned} \text{Ceded premium} &= a \cdot P \\ \text{Ceded loss} &= a \cdot X \end{aligned}

\text{Reinsurer's ratio} = \text{ELR} + c + b + e

  • P is subject premium, X subject loss, \text{ELR} the expected loss ratio (including a catastrophe load), c the ceding commission, b brokerage and e the reinsurer's own expenses, each as a ratio to ceded premium. The reinsurer judges this combined ratio, with investment income and risk, against its target return.
  • The treaty loss ratio is the cedant's loss ratio, so pricing is ratemaking on the cedant's data (Clark's steps): compile five or more years of subject experience; remove catastrophe and shock losses; develop, trend and bring premium to current rate level (the parallelogram method for a losses-occurring treaty); select the non-catastrophe ELR; add a catastrophe load, now usually from a catastrophe model; then add commission, brokerage and expenses.
  • What it does, and doesn't do. It provides capacity and surplus relief: the ceding commission recovers acquisition cost on the ceded unearned premium. It does not change the shape of the net result. Net loss is (1-a)X, so its coefficient of variation equals gross. The cedant keeps 1-a of every catastrophe and every large loss.
  • When the two sides disagree on the ELR, adjustable features settle it: Sliding Scale Commissions, a Profit Commission, Loss Corridors, or a per-occurrence limit on ceded catastrophe loss. See Reinsurance Contract Provisions.
  • For reserving, ceded losses are a scalar multiple of gross and develop on the gross pattern, unlike Excess of Loss cessions. Compare Surplus Share, where the percentage varies by risk.

Pricing a Property Quota Share A cedant asks for a 40\% quota share on homeowners business with projected subject earned premium of \$50 million. Five years of developed, trended, on-level loss ratios excluding catastrophes are 52\%, 58\%, 55\%, 61\%, 54\%. A catastrophe model gives expected annual catastrophe loss of \$5.6 million on the subject book. Terms offered: ceding commission 28\%, brokerage 2\%; the reinsurer's own expenses are 1.5\%. The reinsurer targets a 95\% combined ratio.

Answer

\begin{align*}
\text{Non-cat ELR} &= \frac{52 + 58 + 55 + 61 + 54}{5} \\
&= 56.0\%
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
\text{Cat load} &= \frac{\$5.6\text{M}}{\$50\text{M}} \\
&= 11.2\%
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
\text{Combined} &= 67.2\% + 28\% + 2\% + 1.5\% \\
&= 98.7\%
\end{align*}

Ceded premium is 0.40 \times \$50\text{M} = \$20 million and expected ceded loss is 0.672 \times \$20\text{M} = \$13.44 million. At 98.7\% the terms miss the target. The commission that meets it is 95 - 67.2 - 2 - 1.5 = 24.3\%, so the actuary would counter at about 24\%, or propose an adjustable feature instead.

Effect of a Per-Occurrence Catastrophe Limit Same treaty. The cedant's annual catastrophe loss (one event per year at most) is \$0 with probability 0.70, \$10M with 0.20, \$30M with 0.08 and \$60M with 0.02. The reinsurer proposes limiting ceded catastrophe loss to \$8 million per occurrence. Find the new catastrophe load and combined ratio.

Answer Ceded catastrophe loss at 40\% is 0, 4, 12, 24 (in $ millions) before the cap, and 0, 4, 8, 8 after it:

\begin{align*}
E[\text{uncapped}] &= 0.20(4) + 0.08(12) + 0.02(24) \\
&= 2.24
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
E[\text{capped}] &= 0.20(4) + 0.08(8) + 0.02(8) \\
&= 1.60
\end{align*}

On ceded premium of \$20M the catastrophe load falls from 11.2\% to 1.60/20 = 8.0\%, so the ELR becomes 64.0\% and the combined ratio 64.0 + 28 + 2 + 1.5 = 95.5\%, close to target at the original commission.

The cost moves to the cedant. In the \$60M event its net loss is \$52M instead of \$36M, so it needs a catastrophe excess cover on its net retention, which is exactly where such covers apply.