Actuarial Notes

Surplus Share

Study guide: Exam 9

Surplus Share is a proportional treaty, common on property, in which the percentage ceded varies by risk. The cedant keeps a fixed amount of each risk's insured value (the retained line). The reinsurer takes the share of the risk by which its value exceeds that line, up to a capacity stated as a number of lines, and pays that share of every loss on the risk.

s(V) = \frac{\min\left(\max(V - R,\, 0),\; N R\right)}{V}

\text{Ceded loss on the risk} = s(V) \cdot X

  • V is the risk's insured value, R the retained line, N the number of lines (capacity NR), and X any loss on the risk. Premium is ceded in the same proportion s(V), less a ceding commission.
  • It is not excess insurance. The line is used only to set the percentage. Once s(V) is fixed, the reinsurer pays that share of a \$5{,}000 loss as surely as of a total loss. Compare Excess of Loss.
  • What it achieves. Small risks are kept whole, and large risks are cut down to about the line. The net book becomes more uniform in amount at risk, so the cedant can write large risks without a matching increase in net exposure. Value above (N+1)R falls back to the cedant unless it buys a second surplus or facultative cover.
  • Pricing follows Quota Share with one difference that matters. The ceded book is weighted toward large risks, whose loss ratio can differ from the gross book's. Clark's step 1: if treaty history is not available, restate the gross experience "as if" the surplus terms had applied, rather than pricing off the gross loss ratio.
  • Watch for selection. If the cedant can vary its line by class, the reinsurer's share tilts toward whatever classes the cedant keeps least of.
  • Inuring. Per-risk excess and catastrophe covers usually apply to the retention after the surplus share. When exposure rating that per-risk layer, select the exposure curve by the insured value before the surplus share, but apply the factor to subject premium after it (Clark).

Cession Percentages and Losses A surplus share treaty has a \$250{,}000 line and 5 lines. Find the cession percentage for risks of \$200{,}000, \$500{,}000, \$1{,}000{,}000, \$2{,}000{,}000 and \$5{,}000{,}000. Then allocate a \$300{,}000 loss on the \$1M risk and a \$2M loss on the \$5M risk.

Answer Capacity is 5 \times \$250\text{K} = \$1{,}250\text{K}.

  • \$200K: below the line, s = 0\%.
  • \$500K: 250/500 = 50\%.
  • \$1{,}000K: 750/1{,}000 = 75\%.
  • \$2{,}000K: \min(1{,}750, 1{,}250)/2{,}000 = 62.5\%.
  • \$5{,}000K: 1{,}250/5{,}000 = 25\%.

\$300K loss on the \$1M risk: ceded 0.75 \times 300 = \$225K, retained \$75K.

\$2M loss on the \$5M risk: ceded 0.25 \times 2{,}000 = \$500K. The cedant's line is 250/5{,}000 = 5\%, or \$100K. The remaining 70\% of value lies above the treaty's capacity, so \$1{,}400K also stays with the cedant unless a second surplus or facultative certificate covers it. Net: \$1{,}500K.

The percentage peaks for mid-sized risks and falls for the largest ones, once they outgrow the treaty's capacity.

Treaty Loss Ratio Differs from Gross Same treaty. The cedant's book, with each band's risks taken at a representative value:

  • Small, V = \$200K: premium \$6M, loss ratio 55\%.
  • Medium, V = \$1M: premium \$3M, loss ratio 60\%.
  • Large, V = \$2M: premium \$1M, loss ratio 75\%.

Compute the gross, treaty and net loss ratios.

Answer Cessions are 0\%, 75\% and 62.5\%.

\begin{align*}
\text{Gross LR} &= \frac{3.30 + 1.80 + 0.75}{10} \\
&= 58.5\%
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
\text{Ceded prem.} &= 0.75(3) + 0.625(1) \\
&= 2.875
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
\text{Ceded loss} &= 0.75(1.80) + 0.625(0.75) \\
&= 1.81875
\end{align*}
\begin{align*}
\text{Treaty LR} &= \frac{1.81875}{2.875} \\
&= 63.3\%
\end{align*}

Net loss ratio: (5.85 - 1.81875)/(10 - 2.875) = 4.03125/7.125 = 56.6\%.

The treaty sees none of the small risks and much of the large ones, so its loss ratio is 4.8 points worse than the cedant's gross. A reinsurer pricing off the gross 58.5\% would under-price the treaty.