Actuarial Notes

Loss Corridors

Study guide: Exam 9

A Loss Corridor is a reinsurance contract provision under which the cedant reassumes part of the reinsurer's liability when the treaty loss ratio falls within a stated band. For example, the cedant takes back 75\% of the losses between an 80\% and a 90\% loss ratio. The reinsurer's cover therefore has a hole in the middle. Corridors are most common on proportional treaties.

\text{LR}_{\text{net}} = \text{LR} - c \cdot \min\left(\max(\text{LR} - a,\, 0),\; b - a\right)

  • \text{LR} is the treaty loss ratio on ceded premium before the corridor, a and b the corridor's lower and upper bounds, and c the share reassumed (100\% or less). Below a and above b the reinsurer pays as usual. Within the band it pays only 1 - c of each extra point.
  • Bounded saving. The most the reinsurer saves is c(b - a) points of premium, in any year that reaches b. Unlike a stop loss, the cedant's retention is a slice in the middle of the distribution, and the reinsurer still pays in full above b.
  • Price with the distribution. A corridor attaching above the expected loss ratio still lowers the reinsurer's expected loss ratio, because some years reach it. Plugging in the expected loss ratio would value it at zero. Evaluate the probability and average loss ratio below, within and above the corridor (Clark).
  • A substitute for commission. A corridor worth k points of expected loss is worth roughly k points of ceding commission. The cedant can keep volatility in a band it can bear in exchange for better commission terms. It is one of the adjustable Reinsurance Contract Provisions, alongside Sliding Scale Commissions and a Profit Commission.
  • On excess contracts the analogous feature is an annual aggregate deductible — see Aggregate Excess of Loss. A corridor on a surplus share that inures to a catastrophe cover changes that cover's exposure too.
  • A wide corridor across the likely range of outcomes leaves the reinsurer little real risk. Loss ratio corridors are among the features that can defeat Risk Transfer.

Applying a Corridor to Actual Loss Ratios A quota share has a loss corridor in which the cedant reassumes 50\% of the losses between a 75\% and a 95\% loss ratio. Find the reinsurer's net loss ratio for treaty loss ratios of 70\%, 85\% and 110\%.

Answer

\begin{align*}
\text{LR} = 70\%: \quad \text{LR}_{\text{net}} &= 70\% \\[4pt]
\text{LR} = 85\%: \quad \text{LR}_{\text{net}} &= 85 - 0.5(10) \\
&= 80\% \\[4pt]
\text{LR} = 110\%: \quad \text{LR}_{\text{net}} &= 110 - 0.5(20) \\
&= 100\%
\end{align*}

The reinsurer's saving grows with the loss ratio until it reaches 0.5 \times 20 = 10 points at 95\%, and stays there. At 110\% the reinsurer still pays the 15 points above the corridor in full.

Expected Value of a Corridor Above the Expected Loss Ratio A quota share cedes \$10M of premium at a 25\% ceding commission. The treaty loss ratio is 60\% (p = 0.25), 70\% (0.35), 80\% (0.25) or 100\% (0.15). The reinsurer proposes a corridor in which the cedant reassumes 100\% of losses between 75\% and 85\%. Find the corridor's effect on the reinsurer's expected loss.

Answer

\begin{align*}
E[\text{LR}] &= 0.25(60) + 0.35(70) + 0.25(80) + 0.15(100) \\
&= 74.5\%
\end{align*}

Reassumed points, \min(\max(\text{LR} - 75, 0), 10): 0, 0, 5, 10.

\begin{align*}
E[\text{Reassumed}] &= 0.25(5) + 0.15(10) \\
&= 2.75 \text{ points}
\end{align*}

The reinsurer's expected loss ratio falls from 74.5\% to 71.75\%, or \$275{,}000 of expected loss. Its loss-plus-commission ratio falls from 99.5\% to 96.75\%.

The expected loss ratio of 74.5\% sits below the corridor, so a plug-in estimate would value the corridor at nothing. The saving comes entirely from the 40\% chance of a year at 80\% or worse. For the same expected result, the reinsurer could offer the cedant a choice: accept the corridor, or take a ceding commission about 2.75 points lower.