Actuarial Notes

Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense

Study guide: Exam 5

Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense (ALAE) is claim adjustment cost that can be attributed to a specific claim — defence counsel fees, expert witnesses, independent adjusters, court costs — as opposed to ULAE, the claims-department overhead that cannot.

\text{Loss \& ALAE} = \text{Indemnity} + \text{ALAE}

\text{ALAE Ratio} = \frac{\text{ALAE}}{\text{Indemnity}}

  • Because ALAE attaches to a claim, it is captured in case reserves and can be developed in a triangle exactly like indemnity. Friedland gives three approaches: develop a combined loss-and-ALAE triangle, develop ALAE separately in its own triangle, or develop a ratio of ALAE to loss and apply it to projected losses.
  • Combining is simplest and is the usual choice, but it assumes ALAE develops like indemnity. It often does not: defence costs accrue steadily through litigation while indemnity lands at settlement, so an ALAE-only triangle can have a different shape and a different tail.
  • The ALAE ratio varies enormously by line — roughly 30–50\% of indemnity in professional liability, 15–25\% in general liability, 10–15\% in auto liability, and a few percent in property. A load taken from one line and applied to another is a substantial error.
  • ALAE can be countercyclical to indemnity: money spent defending a claim vigorously may reduce the indemnity paid. A "defence and settle" strategy shift moves both components, in opposite directions, and shows up in the triangles as a change in the ALAE ratio.
  • Whether ALAE sits inside "losses" matters for the reinsurance treaty too: treaties differ on whether ALAE is included within the limit, shared pro rata, or added on top — which changes both ceded and net figures.

ALAE on a Litigated Claim A general liability claim settles with an indemnity payment of \$100{,}000. Along the way the insurer paid defence counsel \$25{,}000, an expert witness \$8{,}000, and court costs \$2{,}000.

Compute total incurred and the ALAE ratio, and state how the claim appears in the triangles.

Answer

\begin{align*}
\text{ALAE} &= \$25{,}000 + \$8{,}000 + \$2{,}000 = \$35{,}000 \\[4pt]
\text{Loss \& ALAE} &= \$100{,}000 + \$35{,}000 = \$135{,}000 \\[4pt]
\text{ALAE ratio} &= \frac{\$35{,}000}{\$100{,}000} = 35\%
\end{align*}

In a combined triangle the claim contributes \$135{,}000. In separate triangles it contributes \$100{,}000 to the indemnity triangle and \$35{,}000 to the ALAE triangle — and the two will develop differently, since the defence fees were largely paid before the indemnity settlement.

A 35\% ratio is at the high end for GL and would be worth investigating: is it one unusually litigated claim, or has the book's mix shifted toward disputed claims?

Estimating Unpaid ALAE by the Ratio Approach An actuary has projected ultimate indemnity of \$12{,}000{,}000 for an accident year and \$7{,}500{,}000 of indemnity paid to date. Historical ratios of ultimate ALAE to ultimate indemnity for mature years are 0.18, 0.19, 0.20 and 0.19. ALAE paid to date on this year is \$1{,}400{,}000.

Estimate unpaid ALAE.

Answer Select an ultimate ALAE ratio of 0.19:

\begin{align*}
\text{Ultimate ALAE} &= 0.19 \times \$12{,}000{,}000 \\
&= \$2{,}280{,}000 \\[4pt]
\text{Unpaid ALAE} &= \$2{,}280{,}000 - \$1{,}400{,}000 \\
&= \$880{,}000
\end{align*}

The check worth doing: ALAE is 61\% paid (1{,}400/2{,}280) while indemnity is 63\% paid (7{,}500/12{,}000) — close enough that the ratio approach is defensible here.

If instead ALAE were 85\% paid against 63\% on indemnity, the ratio method would be projecting ALAE that has largely already been spent, and a separate ALAE triangle would be the better estimator. That comparison — the relative maturity of the two components — is what decides between the methods.