Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2016, Question 23

Study guide: Exam 5

The following information is available as of June 30, 2015 for an insurance company:

Cumulative Paid Claims ($000s) as of (months):

Accident Year 6 18 30 42
2012 3,450 4,313 4,528 4,573
2013 3,200 4,000 4,200
2014 3,345 4,181
2015 2,950

Cumulative Paid ALAE ($000s) as of (months):

Accident Year 6 18 30 42
2012 173 345 498 549
2013 160 320 462
2014 167 335
2015 148
  • There is no development beyond 42 months.

Part a (2.25 points)

Estimate the total ultimate unpaid ALAE for all accident years using a paid ALAE-to-paid claims only development technique.

Part b (0.5 points)

This insurance company expects a significant change in their mix of business that will impact accident years 2015 and later. Briefly describe one advantage and one disadvantage of using the paid ALAE-to-paid claim only technique during this change in mix of business.

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Concepts tested

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