Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 7 Spring 2016, Question 7

Study guide: Exam 7

Given the following information:

Accident Year Cumulative Reported Losses ($000) as of 24 Months Cumulative Reported Losses ($000) as of 36 Months
2009 3,000 5,000
2010 5,000 8,000
2011 2,500 9,000
2012 3,200 6,000
2013 3,800 7,000
2014 2,500

Part a (1.25 points)

Create a scatter plot of the weighted residuals for reported losses as of 36 months against reported losses as of 24 months following Mack's methodology.

Part b (0.5 points)

Identify the chain-ladder method assumption needed for least-squares optimality that can be tested by reviewing the scatter plot created in part a. above and briefly explain whether this assumption has been violated.

Answer this question and see the worked solution

Concepts tested

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