Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 7 Spring 2016, Question 6

Study guide: Exam 7

Given the following information:

Accident Year Age-to-Age Factor, 12-24 Months 24-36 Months 36-48 Months 48-60 Months
2011 1.600 1.375 1.091 1.125
2012 5.000 1.100 2.000
2013 2.833 1.588
2014 2.091
  • Assume that T = r\,[(n-2)/(1-r^2)]^{1/2}
  • The following table displays the t-statistic for 0.9 at various degrees of freedom:
Degrees of Freedom 1 2 3
t-statistic 6.314 2.920 2.354

Part a (2 points)

Using Venter's correlation test, determine whether the correlation between the pair of development factor columns (12-24 Months) and (24-36 Months) is significant at the 10% level.

Part b (1 point)

Calculate Spearman's rank correlation coefficient for the triangle as a whole.

Part c (0.5 points)

Briefly describe two reasons why it may be more appropriate to consider the correlation of a loss development triangle as a whole instead of correlations between pairs of columns.

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Concepts tested

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