Uniform Continuous Distribution
Study guides: Exam P-1, Exam MAS-I
The Continuous Uniform Distribution X \sim \text{Unif}(a, b) assigns equal probability density to every point in the interval (a, b), making it the continuous analogue of the discrete uniform. It is commonly used as a simple loss model when all outcomes in a range are equally plausible.
f(x) = \frac{1}{b - a}, \quad a < x < b
E[X] = (a+b)/2,\text{Var}(X) = (b-a)^2/12, andF(x) = (x-a)/(b-a)fora < x < b- Conditional distributions on sub-intervals are also uniform: given
X > d,Xis uniform on(d, b) - The uniform is not memoryless — the exponential is the only continuous density that is. For
\text{Unif}(0, 10),P(X > 8 \mid X > 5) = 2/5, butP(X > 3) = 7/10
Expected Payment with Uniform Losses and a Deductible Ground-up losses
X \sim \text{Unif}(0, 1000). An ordinary deductible ofd = 300applies. FindE[(X - 300)_+].Answer Since losses are uniform, those above 300 are distributed
\text{Unif}(300, 1000). The probability of exceeding the deductible isP(X > 300) = 700/1000 = 0.7, and givenX > 300the expected excess is700/2 = 350. Therefore:E[(X-300)_+] = P(X > 300) \times E[X - 300 \mid X > 300] = 0.7 \times 350 = 245