Actuarial Notes

Standard Actuarial Notation

Study guide: Exam FAM

Standard Actuarial Notation is the international system of symbols for survival probabilities, expectations of life and the expected present values of life insurance and annuity benefits, as used in Dickson, Hardy & Waters (AMLCR). Every symbol is a core letter for the quantity, with a status on the right (x, [x]+t, x{:}\overline{n}|), a duration or deferral on the left, and marks above and around it that say when payments are made. Reading the marks correctly is most of the work, because the same letter stands for several different values.

{}_tp_x = \Pr(T_x > t) = 1 - {}_tq_x

{}_{t|u}q_x = {}_tp_x - {}_{t+u}p_x

A_{x:\overline{n}|} = A^1_{x:\overline{n}|} + {}_nE_x

\ddot{a}_x = \frac{1 - A_x}{d}

  • Symbols: T_x is the future lifetime of a life aged x, written (x), and K_x = \lfloor T_x \rfloor is its curtate future lifetime. v = 1/(1+i) is the discount factor, d = 1 - v the effective rate of discount, \delta = \ln(1+i) the force of interest, and \mu_x the force of mortality at age x. When the left subscript is 1 it is dropped, so p_x and q_x are one-year probabilities.
  • Survival and death: {}_tp_x is the probability that (x) survives t years and {}_tq_x the probability that it dies within t years. The deferred probability {}_{t|u}q_x is the probability that (x) survives t years and then dies within the next u, and {}_{t|}q_x means u = 1. Survival probabilities chain, {}_{s+t}p_x = {}_sp_x\,{}_tp_{x+s}, and {}_tp_x = \exp\left(-\int_0^t \mu_{x+s}\,ds\right).
  • Expectation of life: The complete expectation \mathring{e}_x = E[T_x] = \int_0^\infty {}_tp_x\,dt carries a ring, and the curtate expectation e_x = E[K_x] = \sum_{k \ge 1} {}_kp_x counts whole years only. Under the uniform distribution of deaths fractional age assumption, \mathring{e}_x = e_x + \tfrac12.
  • Select and ultimate: Square brackets mark the age at selection, so q_{[x]+t} is the mortality rate at age x+t for a life selected (underwritten) at age x, t years ago. After the select period ends the brackets drop and the ultimate rate q_{x+t} applies. A recently underwritten life has lighter mortality than an ultimate life of the same age, so q_{[x]} < q_{[x-1]+1} < q_x in a typical table.
  • Insurance symbols: A is the expected present value (EPV) of a benefit of 1. A_x is whole life, A^1_{x:\overline{n}|} is term (the 1 over x says the benefit is paid only if x fails first, before n ends), {}_nE_x = A_{x:\overline{n}|}^{\ \ 1} = v^n\,{}_np_x is the pure endowment, and A_{x:\overline{n}|} with no 1 is the endowment insurance, the sum of the two. A left subscript defers the cover, as in {}_{u|}A_x = {}_uE_x\,A_{x+u}.
  • Annuity symbols: \ddot{a} with two dots is an annuity-due, paid at the start of each period, and a without dots is an annuity-immediate, paid at the end, so a_x = \ddot{a}_x - 1. The term annuity \ddot{a}_{x:\overline{n}|} pays at most n times. See Life Annuity.
  • Timing marks: A bar means continuous, so \bar{A}_x = E[v^{T_x}] pays at the moment of death and \bar{a}_x pays continuously. Without a bar, A_x = E[v^{K_x+1}] pays at the end of the year of death. A superscript (m) means m payments a year, as in \ddot{a}^{(12)}_x, each of 1/m, or a death benefit at the end of the 1/m-year of death, A^{(m)}_x.
  • Second moments: A left superscript 2 means the same benefit valued at double the force of interest, v^2 in place of v. So {}^2A_x = E[v^{2(K_x+1)}], and the variance of the present value of a whole life benefit of 1 is {}^2A_x - A_x^2.

Reading a Select Table An illustrative select-and-ultimate table has a two-year select period.

x \ell_{[x]} \ell_{[x]+1} \ell_{x+2} x+2
60 80,000 79,000 77,800 62
61 78,600 77,500 76,200 63
62 77,100 75,900 74,400 64

Find {}_2p_{[60]} and {}_{1|2}q_{[61]}. Then, at i = 5\%, find A^1_{[60]:\overline{2}|}, {}_2E_{[60]} and A_{[60]:\overline{2}|}, and check the last one against \ddot{a}_{[60]:\overline{2}|}.

Answer A life selected at 60 reads along the first row, and after two years it joins the ultimate column at age 62. A life selected at 61 reaches age 64 after three years, which is the ultimate \ell_{64} in the third row.

\begin{align*}
{}_2p_{[60]} &= \frac{\ell_{62}}{\ell_{[60]}} \\
&= \frac{77{,}800}{80{,}000} \\
&= 0.9725 \\
{}_{1|2}q_{[61]} &= \frac{\ell_{[61]+1} - \ell_{64}}{\ell_{[61]}} \\
&= \frac{77{,}500 - 74{,}400}{78{,}600} \\
&= 0.03944
\end{align*}

The deaths in the two years after selection at 60 are d_{[60]} = 1{,}000 and d_{[60]+1} = 1{,}200, and v = 1/1.05.

\begin{align*}
A^1_{[60]:\overline{2}|} &= \frac{1{,}000\,v + 1{,}200\,v^2}{80{,}000} \\
&= 0.025510 \\
{}_2E_{[60]} &= v^2(0.9725) \\
&= 0.882086 \\
A_{[60]:\overline{2}|} &= 0.025510 + 0.882086 \\
&= 0.907596
\end{align*}

The annuity-due pays at times 0 and 1, so \ddot{a}_{[60]:\overline{2}|} = 1 + v(79{,}000/80{,}000) = 1.940476. With d = 0.047619, 1 - d\,\ddot{a}_{[60]:\overline{2}|} = 0.907596, which matches the endowment insurance, as the identity requires.

Moments Under a Constant Force Assume a constant force of mortality \mu = 0.02 and a force of interest \delta = 0.05. Find \mathring{e}_x, \bar{A}_x, {}^2\bar{A}_x, \bar{a}_x, and the standard deviation of the present value of a whole life benefit of 1 paid at the moment of death.

Answer Under a constant force, {}_tp_x = e^{-\mu t} at every age, so each symbol is a simple integral.

\begin{align*}
\mathring{e}_x &= \frac{1}{\mu} \\
&= 50 \\
\bar{A}_x &= \frac{\mu}{\mu + \delta} \\
&= 0.285714 \\
{}^2\bar{A}_x &= \frac{\mu}{\mu + 2\delta} \\
&= 0.166667 \\
\bar{a}_x &= \frac{1 - \bar{A}_x}{\delta} \\
&= 14.285714
\end{align*}

The variance is {}^2\bar{A}_x - \bar{A}_x^2 = 0.166667 - 0.081633 = 0.085034, so the standard deviation is 0.2916. The second moment uses 2\delta, not \delta^2, and \bar{a}_x = 1/(\mu + \delta) gives the same 14.2857 directly.

How it appears on the exam

  • FAM: Questions on mortality models give a life table, a select table or a survival function and ask for a probability such as {}_{t|u}q_{[x]+s}, or for \mathring{e}_x or e_x, often over a term, as in \mathring{e}_{x:\overline{n}|}. The select questions turn on reading the right row and knowing when a life joins the ultimate column.
  • FAM: Questions on long-term coverages ask for the expected value, and often the variance, of the present value random variable of a whole life, term, endowment or deferred insurance, or of a life annuity. Answers rest on the identities above, such as A_{x:\overline{n}|} = A^1_{x:\overline{n}|} + {}_nE_x and \ddot{a}_x = (1 - A_x)/d, and on the second moment at double the force of interest.

Exam traps

  • Pure endowment versus endowment insurance: {}_nE_x pays only on survival, while A_{x:\overline{n}|} pays on death within n years or on survival to n. Confusing them changes the answer by the whole term insurance.
  • Brackets on the select age: q_{[x]+1} and q_{x+1} are both rates at age x+1 but for different lives. Using the ultimate column during the select period overstates mortality for a recently underwritten life.
  • The deferral subscript: {}_{t|u}q_x needs survival to t first, so it is {}_tp_x\,{}_uq_{x+t}, not {}_uq_{x+t} on its own. Leaving out {}_tp_x overstates the probability.
  • Second moments: {}^2A_x is A_x at v^2, or at 2\delta for \bar{A}_x. It is not (A_x)^2, and for an annuity the variance comes through \text{Var}(\bar{a}_{\overline{T}|}) = ({}^2\bar{A}_x - \bar{A}_x^2)/\delta^2.
  • Due versus immediate: \ddot{a}_x = 1 + a_x, because the annuity-due makes the payment at time 0 that the annuity-immediate does not. The identity \ddot{a}_x = (1 - A_x)/d holds for the annuity-due only.