Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 628

Study guide: Exam P-1

In a given month, a group of policies are up for renewal. The random variable R denotes the fraction of those policies that are actually renewed. R has a probability density function of the form

f(r) = \begin{cases}
(\alpha + 1)r^\alpha, & \text{for } 0 < r < 1 \\
0, & \text{otherwise,}
\end{cases}

where \alpha is a positive parameter. The expected value of R is 0.75.

Calculate the probability that more than half of the policies up for renewal in a given month will actually be renewed.

  • A) 0.50
  • B) 0.58
  • C) 0.70
  • D) 0.75
  • E) 0.88

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