Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 547

Study guide: Exam P-1

A weather satellite is sending a binary code of 0s and 1s describing a tropical storm. Suppose 70% of the message being sent is 0s and there is an 80% chance of any particular 0 or 1 being received correctly. (If a 1 is sent and incorrectly received, it is received as a 0, and vice versa.)

Calculate the probability that a 0 was sent, given that a 1 was received.

  • A) 0.16
  • B) 0.34
  • C) 0.37
  • D) 0.63
  • E) 0.90

Answer this question and see the worked solution

Concepts tested

More questions from this set