Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-II Spring 2019, Question 15

Study guide: Exam MAS-II

You are fitting a Linear Mixed Model on a clustered dataset and considering the following two models:

Model I

Y_{ij} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_{ij}^{(1)} + \beta_2 X_{ij}^{(2)} + \beta_3 X_{ij}^{(3)} + u_j + \varepsilon_{ij}

u_j follows a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance \sigma_c^2; \varepsilon_{ij} follows a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance \sigma^2; all \varepsilon_{ij} are independent.

Model II

Y_{ij} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_{ij}^{(1)} + \beta_2 X_{ij}^{(2)} + \beta_3 X_{ij}^{(3)} + \varepsilon_{ij}

\varepsilon_{ij} follows a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance \sigma^2; all \varepsilon_{ij} are independent.

The fit statistics are as follows:

Model I Model II
-2 log-likelihood 401.1 489.9

You are using the test statistic to choose between Model I and Model II. Determine which of the following statements are true:

  • A) Based on referring the test statistic to a chi-squared distribution with 1 degree of freedom, we select Model I at a confidence level of 0.005
  • B) Based on referring the test statistic to an average of chi-squared distributions with 0 and 1 degrees of freedom, we select Model I at a confidence level of 0.005
  • C) Based on referring the test statistic to a chi-squared distribution with 1 degree of freedom, we select Model II at a confidence level of 0.005
  • D) Based on referring the test statistic to an average of chi-squared distributions with 0 and 1 degrees of freedom, we select Model II at a confidence level of 0.005
  • E) The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D)

Answer this question and see the worked solution

Concepts tested

More questions from this set