Actuarial Notes

Exam MAS-I Practice Question 140

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

For six commercial auto fleets, an analyst records the number of vehicles x and the loss cost per vehicle y (in hundreds):

Fleet 1 2 3 4 5 6
Vehicles x 1 2 3 4 5 20
Loss cost y 4.1 3.8 4.4 3.9 4.2 9.0

The sample correlation of the six pairs is r = 0.979.

Which conclusion is best supported?

  • A) Loss cost rises steadily with fleet size across the whole range of the data
  • B) Fleet 6 has a large residual from the fitted line and should be removed as an outlier
  • C) The high r rests on fleet 6 alone; among the other five fleets, loss cost barely moves
  • D) Since r^2 = 0.96, fleet size explains 96% of the variation in loss cost at every fleet size
  • E) Since r is near 1, adding vehicles to a fleet causes its loss cost per vehicle to rise

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