Actuarial Notes

Exam MAS-I Practice Question 21

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

A bonus-malus system has three levels with annual premiums:

Level 1 2 3
Premium $250 $350 $500

After a claim-free year a driver moves down one level (staying at level 1 if already there). After any year with a claim the driver goes to level 3. A driver's annual claim count is Poisson with mean 0.25.

A driver at level 1 has an at-fault loss on the last day of an otherwise claim-free year. If the loss is reported, the driver is at level 3 next year; if the driver pays it, the driver stays at level 1. Ignore interest.

Part a (1 point)

Calculate the expected additional premium the driver will pay over all future years as a result of reporting the loss. Give your answer to two decimal places.

Part b (1 point)

The loss is $300. Using the criterion of lower expected total cost to the driver, what should the driver do?

  • A) Report the loss
  • B) Pay the loss itself
  • C) Either, since the two choices cost the same

Part c (1 point)

A second driver at level 1, facing the same choice, believes her own claim rate is 1.0 a year rather than 0.25. Explain how this changes the largest loss she should be willing to pay herself, and why.

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