Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Fall 2019, Question 37

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

For a set of data with 40 observations, 2 predictors (X_1 and X_2), and one response (Y), the residual sum of squares has been calculated for several different estimates of a linear model with an intercept. Only integer values from 1 to 3 were considered for estimates of \beta_0 (the intercept), \beta_1 and \beta_2.

The grid below shows the residual sum of squares for every combination of the parameter estimates, after standardization:

\hat{\beta}_0 = 1

\hat{\beta}_1 \hat{\beta}_2 = 1 \hat{\beta}_2 = 2 \hat{\beta}_2 = 3
1 3,924 1,977 1,250
2 1,858 1,141 711
3 1,386 822 369

\hat{\beta}_0 = 2

\hat{\beta}_1 \hat{\beta}_2 = 1 \hat{\beta}_2 = 2 \hat{\beta}_2 = 3
1 3,949 1,822 1,174
2 1,907 1,187 717
3 1,363 711 349

\hat{\beta}_0 = 3

\hat{\beta}_1 \hat{\beta}_2 = 1 \hat{\beta}_2 = 2 \hat{\beta}_2 = 3
1 3,784 1,671 1,107
2 1,827 1,128 668
3 1,294 700 344

Let \hat{\beta}_i^R be the estimate of \beta_i using a ridge regression with budget parameter s = 5. Assume the intercept is not subject to the budget parameters.

Calculate the value of \hat{\beta}_0^R + \hat{\beta}_1^R + \hat{\beta}_2^R.

  • A) Less than 6
  • B) 6
  • C) 7
  • D) 8
  • E) Greater than 8

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