Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Fall 2019, Question 2

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

You are given the following information about waiting times at a subway station:

  • Subway trains arrive at a Poisson rate of 20 per hour
  • 30% of the trains are Express and 70% are Local
  • The arrival times of each train are independent
  • An Express train gets you to work in 18 minutes, and a Local train gets you there in 30 minutes
  • You always take the first train to arrive and you get to the office in X_1 minutes from the time you arrive at the subway station
  • Your coworker always takes the first Express train to arrive and he gets to the office in X_2 minutes from the time he arrives at the subway station

Calculate the expected value of X_1 - X_2.

  • A) Less than -2.0
  • B) At least -2.0, but less than -1.0
  • C) At least -1.0, but less than 0.0
  • D) At least 0.0, but less than 1.0
  • E) At least 1.0

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Concepts tested

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