Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Spring 2018, Question 30

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

You are considering using k-fold cross-validation (CV) in order to estimate the test error of a regression model, and have two options for choice of k:

  • 5-fold CV
  • Leave-one-out CV (LOOCV)

Determine which one of the following statements makes the best argument for choosing LOOCV over 5-fold CV.

  • A) 1-fold CV is usually sufficient for estimating the test error in regression problems.
  • B) LOOCV and 5-fold CV usually produce similar estimates of test error, so the simpler model is preferable.
  • C) Running each cross-validation model is computationally expensive.
  • D) Models fit on smaller subsets of the training data result in greater overestimates of the test error.
  • E) Using nearly-identical training data sets results in highly-correlated test error estimates.

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