Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Fall 2018, Question 31

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

An actuary fits two GLMs, M_1 and M_2, to the same data in order to predict the probability of a customer purchasing an automobile insurance product. You are given the following information about each model:

Model Explanatory Variables Degrees of Freedom Used Log Likelihood
M_1 Offered Price, Number of Vehicles, Age of Primary Insured, Prior Insurance Carrier 10 -11,565
M_2 Offered Price, Number of Vehicles, Age of Primary Insured, Gender of Primary Insured, Credit Score of Primary Insured 8 -11,562

The actuary wants to evaluate which of the two models is superior.

Determine which of the following is the best course of action for the actuary to take.

  • A) Perform a likelihood ratio test
  • B) Compute the F-statistic and perform an F-test
  • C) Compute and compare the deviances of the two models
  • D) Compute and compare the AIC statistics of the two models
  • E) Compute the Chi-squared statistic and perform a Chi-squared test

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Concepts tested

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