Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Fall 2018, Question 19

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

An actuary observes the following 20 losses for a select insurance policy:

\{20, 25, 36, 38, 42, 52, 55, 57, 65, 66, 69, 71, 72, 73, 74, 74, 74, 80, 81, 82\}

She believes the distribution which fits the data the best is loglogistic with the following probability density:

f(x; \gamma, \theta) = \frac{\gamma x^{\gamma-1}}{\theta^\gamma \left[1 + \left(\frac{x}{\theta}\right)^\gamma\right]^2}

She uses the 20^{\text{th}} and 80^{\text{th}} percentiles to estimate the two parameters of this distribution.

Calculate the estimated value of \theta.

  • A) Less than 20
  • B) At least 20, but less than 30
  • C) At least 30, but less than 40
  • D) At least 40, but less than 50
  • E) At least 50

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