Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam FAM Sample Question 13

Study guide: Exam FAM

Losses come from a mixture of an exponential distribution with mean 100 with probability p and an exponential distribution with mean 10,000 with probability 1 - p.

Losses of 100 and 2000 are observed.

Determine the likelihood function of p.

  • A) \left(\dfrac{pe^{-1}}{100}\cdot\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10{,}000}\right)\cdot\left(\dfrac{pe^{-20}}{100}\cdot\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10{,}000}\right)
  • B) \left(\dfrac{pe^{-1}}{100}\cdot\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10{,}000}\right)+\left(\dfrac{pe^{-20}}{100}\cdot\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10{,}000}\right)
  • C) \left(\dfrac{pe^{-1}}{100}+\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10{,}000}\right)\cdot\left(\dfrac{pe^{-20}}{100}+\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10{,}000}\right)
  • D) \left(\dfrac{pe^{-1}}{100}+\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10{,}000}\right)+\left(\dfrac{pe^{-20}}{100}+\dfrac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10{,}000}\right)
  • E) p\left(\dfrac{e^{-1}}{100}+\dfrac{e^{-0.01}}{10{,}000}\right)+(1-p)\left(\dfrac{e^{-20}}{100}+\dfrac{e^{-0.2}}{10{,}000}\right)

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