Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam FAM Sample Question 12

Study guide: Exam FAM

You are given the following information about a general liability book of business comprised of 2500 insureds:

(i) X_i = \sum_{j=1}^{N_i} Y_{ij} is a random variable representing the annual loss of the ith insured.

(ii) N_1, N_2, \ldots, N_{2500} are independent and identically distributed random variables following a negative binomial distribution with parameters r = 2 and \beta = 0.2.

(iii) Y_{i1}, Y_{i2}, \ldots, Y_{iN_i} are independent and identically distributed random variables following a Pareto distribution with \alpha = 3 and \theta = 1000.

(iv) The full credibility standard is to be within 5% of the expected aggregate losses 90% of the time.

Calculate the partial credibility of the annual loss experience for this book of business using limited fluctuation credibility theory.

  • A) 0.34
  • B) 0.42
  • C) 0.47
  • D) 0.50
  • E) 0.53

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