Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 9 Spring 2019, Question 8

Study guide: Exam 9

Consider the following for a publicly-traded, monoline insurer:

  • The insurer holds $50 million in surplus and writes $100 million in premium each year
  • The expected loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) ratio is 73%
  • The underwriting expense ratio is 25%
  • The insurer collects all premium and pays all underwriting expenses on January 1 of each year
  • Losses and LAE are paid on December 31 of each year
  • The insurer expects 92% of its business to retain each year
  • The insurer's board of directors has decided to limit its investments to risk-free assets
  • The company's target return on surplus is determined using the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and its CAPM beta is estimated at 1.25
  • The expected return on the market portfolio is 12%
  • The risk-free rate of return is 4%

Part a (3.25 points)

Calculate the duration of the insurer's total economic value if the company assumes a pricing strategy of setting the target return as the risk-free rate of interest plus a risk premium, such that the initial target return is the CAPM estimate.

Part b (0.5 points)

Briefly describe one advantage and one limitation of the insurer's pricing strategy.

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