CAS Exam 9 Spring 2018, Question 1
Study guide: Exam 9
A portfolio manager is looking to make recommendations to his clients using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The research department has developed the following information:
| Forecast Return (%) | Standard Deviation (%) | Beta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock X | 15.0 | 25 | 0.8 |
| Stock Y | 18.0 | 20 | 1.2 |
| Stock Z | 12.5 | 30 | 0.9 |
| Market index | 14.0 | 15 | |
| Risk-free rate | 5.0 |
- Investor preference is given by the following utility formula:
U = E(r) - \frac{1}{2}A\sigma^2. - Investor preference for Stock Z is -0.049 for a risk-averse investor.
- The correlation between Stocks X and Y is 0.6.
- The CAPM expected return for Stock X is 12.2%.
- The implied alpha for Stock Y is 2.2%.
- The Sharpe ratios for Stock X and Stock Z are 0.40 and 0.25, respectively.
Part a (4.25 points)
Using CAPM, compare and contrast which stock the portfolio manager would recommend to an investor holding a single stock portfolio versus an investor considering adding one of these stocks to an already well-diversified portfolio. For the single stock portfolio recommended, demonstrate that the risk-reward tradeoff is a better alternative than investing in the market index.
Part b (2.25 points)
For both a risk-averse investor and a risk-neutral investor, justify which stock each would select.
Part c (2 points)
Graph the capital market line, the efficient frontier, the market index, and Stocks X, Y, and Z. Label the axes and all data points. Briefly explain why Stock X cannot lie on the efficient frontier. Explain how the portfolio manager would interpret the perceived value of the price for Stock Y.
Part d (2.5 points)
Demonstrate that the insurance principle of diversification is achieved for the minimum-variance portfolio comprised only of Stocks X and Y.
No current syllabus covers this question; it is kept for the record.
Answer this question and see the worked solution