Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 9 Spring 2016, Question 9

Study guide: Exam 9

An actuary is testing the expected return-beta relationship implied by the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) using a two-step regression procedure. To run the regression, the actuary collected monthly rates of return on various stocks, the S&P 500 index, and 1-month (risk-free) T-bills over a five-year sample period.

The first-pass estimates were used as inputs for the following second-pass regression:

\overline{r_i - r_f} = \gamma_0 + \gamma_1 b_i + \gamma_2 \sigma^2(e_i)

The second-pass regression produced the following coefficients:

Coefficient Statistically Significant?
\gamma_0 = 0.003 No
\gamma_1 = 0.175 Yes
\gamma_2 = 0.300 Yes

The market risk premium is 9%.

Part a (1.5 points)

Briefly describe what each coefficient represents and, using the information above, assess whether or not each coefficient is consistent with CAPM.

Part b (0.5 points)

Briefly describe two criticisms with this regression approach for testing CAPM.

No current syllabus covers this question; it is kept for the record.

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