Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 9 Spring 2013, Question 19

Study guide: Exam 9

Actuaries analyzing an annual workers' compensation policy have estimated the following:

Item Value
Expected losses $1,200
Expense ratio 35%
Risk-free interest rate 5%
Investment return of the company 11%
Overall market return 9%
Cost of capital 8%

In addition, the actuaries assume the following:

  • Losses will be paid according to the following pattern:
    • $420 at the end of year 1
    • $780 at the end of year 3
  • A loss reserve is set up on the effective date of the policy and decreases as losses are paid.
  • Expenses are paid on the effective date of the policy.
  • A tax rate of 35% applies to investment income.
  • There is no underwriting income tax.
  • The company carries surplus equal to 75% of undiscounted loss reserves.
  • Equity flows occur annually.

Calculate the minimum premium necessary for this policy to be profitable.

Part a (3 points)

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