Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 8 Fall 2015, Question 23

Study guide: Exam 9

An actuary is pricing the $9,000,000 excess of $1,000,000 layer for an excess of loss policy. Total insured value of the properties is $10,000,000. Historical information for this policy is as follows:

Accident Year Excess Loss Development Factor On-Level Trended Premium
2012 1.01 $5,200,000
2013 1.05 $5,700,000
2014 1.10 $5,900,000
Accident Date Actual Ground-Up Loss Trend Factor Trended Losses
July 18, 2012 $3,500,000 1.10 $3,850,000
February 12, 2013 $2,000,000 1.08 $2,160,000
August 15, 2013 $1,000,000 1.07 $1,070,000
March 3, 2014 $3,000,000 1.04 $3,120,000
November 2, 2014 $920,000 1.01 $929,200

The exposure curve below applies to the insured risk:

% of Insured Value Exposure Factor
10% 30%
20% 41%
30% 52%
40% 63%
50% 71%
60% 75%
70% 80%
80% 84%
90% 89%
100% 90%
120% 100%

Calculate the policy's loss cost as a percentage of premium.

Part a (2.5 points)

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Concepts tested

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