Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 6C Spring 2014, Question 28

Study guide: Exam 6C

The DCAT of a federally regulated Canadian property and casualty insurer indicates the following lowest projected levels of surplus in the forecast period under the base scenario and the three most adverse scenarios.

Scenario Surplus ($) MCT
Base 800,000 200%
Premium risk (significantly higher than the base scenario) 625,000 ?
Policy liabilities risk (unpaid claims) 600,000 ?
Frequency and severity risk (single large claim) 425,000 ?

Part a (0.5 points)

Explain whether the insurer's financial condition is satisfactory.

Part b (0.75 points)

Evaluate the likelihood of the OSFI to intervene in each adverse scenario. Assume Capital Required is the same for all scenarios.

Part c (0.5 points)

Identify two possible management actions to the premium risk scenario.

Part d (0.5 points)

Identify two possible ripple effects for the frequency and severity risk (single large claim) scenario.

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