Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Spring 2014, Question 18

Study guide: Exam 5

An insurance company has the following claims information as of December 31, 2013:

Cumulative Paid Claims ($000s)

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months
2011 1,000 1,500 1,815
2012 1,020 1,530
2013 1,040

Cumulative Reported Claims ($000s)

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months
2011 1,100 1,650 1,815
2012 1,220 1,830
2013 1,340

Case Outstanding Claims ($000s)

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months
2011 100 150 0
2012 200 300
2013 300

Cumulative Open Claim Counts (as printed)

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months
2011 1,000 1,100 1,155
2012 1,000 1,100
2013 1,000

Cumulative Closed Claim Counts

Accident Year 12 Months 24 Months 36 Months
2011 900 1,080 1,155
2012 900 1,080
2013 900
  • No development occurs beyond 36 months.
  • There are no partial payments.

Estimate ultimate claims for accident year 2013 using two reserving techniques that are consistent with a diagnostic review of the data.

Part a (4 points)

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