Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 5 Fall 2014, Question 15

Study guide: Exam 5

Given the following data as of December 31, 2013:

Accident Year Reported Claims ($000) Reported Development Factor to Ultimate On-Level Earned Premium ($000)
2011 20,900 1.600 38,000
2012 21,000 2.100 50,000
2013 11,500 3.700 67,000
  • Annual loss trend = 7%.
  • There has been a law change effective July 1, 2012, applicable to all claims occurring after the effective date.
  • Estimated reduction to ultimate claims based on law change = 20%.

Estimate IBNR for accident year 2013 using the expected claims technique.

Part a (2 points)

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Concepts tested

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