Actuarial Notes

Sufficient Statistic

Study guide: Exam MAS-I

A Sufficient Statistic T(X_1, \ldots, X_n) for a parameter \theta is a statistic that captures all the information in the sample about \theta. Once T is known, the conditional distribution of the sample given T does not depend on \theta.

Fisher–Neyman Factorization Theorem: T is sufficient for \theta if and only if the joint density (or PMF) factors as: f(x_1, \ldots, x_n \mid \theta) = g(T(x_1,\ldots,x_n),\, \theta) \cdot h(x_1, \ldots, x_n)

  • g depends on the data only through T; h does not depend on \theta
  • The sufficient statistic summarizes the sample without loss of information about \theta
  • For exponential family distributions, a natural sufficient statistic always exists (e.g., \sum X_i for the Poisson and Exponential families)
  • A complete sufficient statistic combined with the Lehmann–Scheffé theorem yields the UMVUE (uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator)
Distribution Parameter Sufficient Statistic
\text{Poi}(\lambda) \lambda \sum_{i=1}^n X_i
N(\mu, \sigma^2) \mu (known \sigma^2) \bar{X}
\text{Exp}(\theta) \theta \sum_{i=1}^n X_i

Verifying a Sufficient Statistic via Factorization Let X_1, \ldots, X_n \stackrel{\text{iid}}{\sim} \text{Poi}(\lambda). Show that T = \sum X_i is sufficient for \lambda.

Answer The joint PMF is: f(\mathbf{x} \mid \lambda) = \prod_{i=1}^n \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^{x_i}}{x_i!} = \frac{e^{-n\lambda}\lambda^{\sum x_i}}{\prod x_i!} Set g(T, \lambda) = e^{-n\lambda}\lambda^T and h(\mathbf{x}) = \dfrac{1}{\prod x_i!}. Since g depends on the data only through T = \sum x_i, the factorization theorem confirms T is sufficient.