Actuarial Notes

Joint Life

Study guides: Exam ALTAM, Exam MAS-I

Joint Life models describe the survival of two (or more) lives simultaneously, focusing on the time until the first death. Given two independent lives aged x and y with future lifetimes T_x and T_y, the joint-life future lifetime is T_{xy} = \min(T_x, T_y).

_{t}p_{xy} = P(T_{xy} > t)

= {_t}p_x \cdot {_t}p_y \quad \text{(independence)}

_{t}q_{xy} = 1 - {_t}p_{xy}

= 1 - {_t}p_x \cdot {_t}p_y

_{t}p_{\overline{xy}} = {_t}p_x + {_t}p_y - {_t}p_{xy}

\ddot{a}_x + \ddot{a}_y = \ddot{a}_{xy} + \ddot{a}_{\overline{xy}}

  • The last survivor status T_{\overline{xy}} = \max(T_x, T_y) lasts until the second death. It is not the complement of the joint-life status: its survival probability is {_t}p_x + {_t}p_y - {_t}p_{xy}, which holds with or without independence and becomes {_t}p_x + {_t}p_y - {_t}p_x\,{_t}p_y for independent lives
  • Relationship: T_{xy} + T_{\overline{xy}} = T_x + T_y, so \mathring{e}_{xy} + \mathring{e}_{\overline{xy}} = \mathring{e}_x + \mathring{e}_y
  • The complete joint-life expectancy: \mathring{e}_{xy} = \int_0^\infty {_t}p_{xy}\,dt
  • Under independence, the joint survival function factors into the product of the individual survival functions
  • Annuities on two lives: the joint-life annuity \ddot{a}_{xy} pays 1 at the start of each year until the first of the two dies, the last-survivor annuity \ddot{a}_{\overline{xy}} until both have died (see Life Annuity). Paying 1 to each life while it is alive is the same as paying 1 while either is alive plus a second 1 while both are — so if annuities on (40) and (50) cost 15 and 13 and the last-survivor annuity costs 20, the joint-life annuity costs 15 + 13 - 20 = 8

Probability Both, and At Least One, Survive 10 Years Two independent lives, aged 40 and 50, have _{10}p_{40} = 0.95 and _{10}p_{50} = 0.88. Find the probability that both survive 10 years, and the probability that at least one of them does.

Answer _{10}p_{40:50} = {_{10}p_{40}} \cdot {_{10}p_{50}} = 0.95 \times 0.88 = 0.836 _{10}p_{\overline{40:50}} = 0.95 + 0.88 - 0.836 = 0.994 The last-survivor probability is not 1 - 0.836 = 0.164: that is the probability that at least one of the two dies.

Probability That the Joint Life Status Fails Within 5 Years Under a constant force of mortality, \mu_x = 0.04 and \mu_y = 0.03. Find _{5}q_{xy}, the probability that the joint-life fails within 5 years.

Answer With constant forces, {_t}p_x = e^{-0.04t} and {_t}p_y = e^{-0.03t}. _{5}p_{xy} = e^{-0.04(5)} \cdot e^{-0.03(5)} = e^{-0.20} \cdot e^{-0.15} = e^{-0.35} \approx 0.7047 _{5}q_{xy} = 1 - 0.7047 = 0.2953