Actuarial Notes

Variable Annuity Volatility Management: An Era of Risk-Control

By Raghu Ramachandran and Aaron Sarfatti · Oliver Wyman · 2017 · INV201-106-25

Study guide: Exam INV-201

A research report by Raghu Ramachandran of S&P Dow Jones Indices and Aaron Sarfatti of Oliver Wyman, written by Oliver Wyman in the fall of 2017 for S&P DJI. It examines the properties of alternative volatility management solutions for guaranteed variable annuities from the perspective of both policyholders and guarantee manufacturers, with a focus on the role of volatility-indexed fees in a potential "next generation" solution. Its purpose is to give manufacturers a framework for weighing the trade-offs of each solution and the implications of certain features. The SOA supplies it as study note INV201-106-25.

On the syllabus

  • Exam INV-201 — the whole report; outcomes 3f and 3g. The introductory study note lists an erratum: in Exhibit 22 on page 26 the 5% and 5.5% labels are incorrectly switched.

Executive Summary

1 Introduction

2 Recent Trends in Market Volatility and its Effect on Clients and Insurers

  • 2.1 A New Era of Volatility
  • 2.2 Product Manufacturers Response
  • 2.3 Innovative Volatility Management Solutions
  • 2.4 Challenges of "First Generation" Solutions

3 Analytical Results of Existing Solutions: Assessment Framework Overview

  • 3.1 Analytical Results of Existing Solutions: Impact of Volatility Management from Manufacturers' Perspectives
  • 3.2 Analytical Results of Existing Solutions: Impact of Volatility Management from Clients' Perspective

4 "Next Generation" Volatility Management Solutions

  • 4.1 Motivation for a "Next Generation" Solution
  • 4.2 Economic Performance Results
  • 4.3 Parameter Considerations

5 Conclusions

Appendix A Product Design and Modeling Methodology

Appendix B Volatility Risk Management Solution Details

Appendix C "Next Generation" Solution Sensitivity Analysis

Appendix D Summary of Results

Sources