Actuarial Notes

Procurement, early warning systems, and the next disruption

By Felix Kaiser, Marc Sommerer, Stefan Thimm and Jan Vandaele · McKinsey & Company · 2022 · CFE201-106-25

Study guide: Exam CFE-201

A McKinsey article of May 2022 on how procurement leaders at industrial companies can avoid product shortages and mitigate the effects of price volatility. It says procurement departments need a comprehensive view of their supply chain vulnerabilities, organized around their companies' product lines, and describes an approach built on three potential problems: absolute-shortage risk, supplier risk and inflation risk.

On the syllabus

First risk scenario: Absolute shortage

Second risk scenario: Supplier defaults

Third risk scenario: Out-of-control inflation

The end goal: A business continuity heat map

Sources