Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 656

Study guide: Exam P-1

A policyholder experiences two sports injuries, each resulting in three possible outcomes: no hospital stay, a short hospital stay, or a long hospital stay.

The joint probability function for i short hospital stays and j long hospital stays is

p(i, j) = \begin{cases}
\dfrac{2!}{i!\,j!\,(2 - i - j)!}(0.2)^i(0.1)^j(0.7)^{2-i-j}, & 0 \le i + j \le 2 \\[6pt]
0, & \text{otherwise.}
\end{cases}

Calculate the probability that at least one of the two injuries results in a long hospital stay.

  • A) 0.05
  • B) 0.15
  • C) 0.17
  • D) 0.19
  • E) 0.36

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