Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 650

Study guide: Exam P-1

A policyholder experiences two sports injuries this year, each resulting in three possible outcomes: no hospital stay, a short hospital stay, or a long hospital stay. Each short hospital stay results in a loss of 2. Each long hospital stay results in a loss of 20.

The joint probability function for i short hospital stays and j long hospital stays is

p(i, j) = \begin{cases}
\dfrac{2!}{i!\,j!\,(2 - i - j)!}(0.2)^i(0.1)^j(0.7)^{2-i-j}, & \text{for } 0 \le i + j \le 2 \\[6pt]
0, & \text{otherwise.}
\end{cases}

Calculate the policyholder's expected total loss from hospital stays due to sports injuries.

  • A) 0.60
  • B) 1.00
  • C) 1.44
  • D) 3.92
  • E) 4.80

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