Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 604

Study guide: Exam P-1

In a certain region, tornados occur only during the six months from March through August. The number of tornados in each of these six months follows the same Poisson distribution and the number of tornados in different months are mutually independent.

The probability that there are no tornados in the six-month period from March through August is 0.008.

Calculate the probability that both the months of July and August are tornado-free, given that there was a tornado in June.

  • A) 0.20
  • B) 0.22
  • C) 0.32
  • D) 0.57
  • E) 0.60

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