Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 503

Study guide: Exam P-1

A trapeze artist has a constant probability, less than 0.5, of having an accident in any particular performance. The occurrence of an accident in any one performance is independent of the occurrence of an accident in all other performances. The probability that the artist's first accident occurs in the second performance is 0.16.

Calculate the probability that the artist's first accident occurs in the fourth performance.

  • A) 0.0064
  • B) 0.0256
  • C) 0.0800
  • D) 0.1024
  • E) 0.2000

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