Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 316

Study guide: Exam P-1

A health insurance company classifies applicants, depending on their health, into one of three categories: A, B, or C.

The following probabilities apply:

  • (i) P[A] = 5P[C]
  • (ii) P[B] = 4P[C]
  • (iii) P[\text{zero claims} \mid A] = 0.1
  • (iv) P[\text{zero claims} \mid B] = 0.2
  • (v) P[\text{zero claims} \mid C] = 0.4

Calculate the probability that an insured was classified in category C, given that the insured had zero claims.

  • A) 0.040
  • B) 0.170
  • C) 0.235
  • D) 0.294
  • E) 0.471

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