Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 85

Study guide: Exam P-1

Under an insurance policy, a maximum of five claims may be filed per year by a policyholder. Let p(n) be the probability that a policyholder files n claims during a given year, where n = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

An actuary makes the following observations: i) p(n) \ge p(n+1) for n = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 ii) The difference between p(n) and p(n+1) is the same for n = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 iii) Exactly 40% of policyholders file fewer than two claims during a given year.

Calculate the probability that a random policyholder will file more than three claims during a given year.

  • A) 0.14
  • B) 0.16
  • C) 0.27
  • D) 0.29
  • E) 0.33

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