Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 26

Study guide: Exam P-1

A study of automobile accidents produced the following data:

Model year Proportion of all vehicles Probability of involvement in an accident
2014 0.16 0.05
2013 0.18 0.02
2012 0.20 0.03
Other 0.46 0.04

An automobile from one of the model years 2014, 2013, and 2012 was involved in an accident.

Calculate the probability that the model year of this automobile is 2014.

  • A) 0.22
  • B) 0.30
  • C) 0.33
  • D) 0.45
  • E) 0.50

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