SOA Exam P Sample Question 20
Study guide: Exam P-1
Upon arrival at a hospital's emergency room, patients are categorized according to their condition as critical, serious, or stable. In the past year:
- (i) 10% of the emergency room patients were critical;
- (ii) 30% of the emergency room patients were serious;
- (iii) the rest of the emergency room patients were stable;
- (iv) 40% of the critical patients died;
- (v) 10% of the serious patients died; and
- (vi) 1% of the stable patients died.
Given that a patient survived, calculate the probability that the patient was categorized as serious upon arrival.
- A) 0.06
- B) 0.29
- C) 0.30
- D) 0.39
- E) 0.64
Answer this question and see the worked solution