Actuarial Notes

SOA Exam P Sample Question 13

Study guide: Exam P-1

In modeling the number of claims filed by an individual under an automobile policy during a three-year period, an actuary makes the simplifying assumption that for all integers n \geq 0, p(n+1) = 0.2\,p(n) where p(n) represents the probability that the policyholder files n claims during the period.

Under this assumption, calculate the probability that a policyholder files more than one claim during the period.

  • A) 0.04
  • B) 0.16
  • C) 0.20
  • D) 0.80
  • E) 0.96

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