Actuarial Notes

Exam MAS-II Practice Question 3

Study guide: Exam MAS-II

A policyholder has four years of its own loss experience, with an average annual aggregate loss of 900. For the portfolio it belongs to, you are given:

  • Collective (prior) mean annual aggregate loss: 600
  • Expected value of the process variance of one year's aggregate loss: 120,000
  • Variance of the hypothetical means: 10,000

Calculate the Bühlmann credibility estimate of this policyholder's expected annual aggregate loss.

  • A) 600
  • B) 623
  • C) 675
  • D) 700
  • E) 825

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