Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-II Fall 2019, Question 32

Study guide: Exam MAS-II

The modeling team is building a new predictive model. While examining their input data, they produce the following scatterplot for analyzing available predictor variables.

The team originally fit a model with var2 and var4. The team decides to also include var3 in a refit model.

Identify which of following is the most likely to occur in the refit model.

  • A) Model predictions will be inaccurate
  • B) Standard errors for var2 will increase
  • C) Coefficient estimate for var3 will be negative
  • D) Posterior estimates will improve
  • E) Interpretation of the coefficients will be straightforward

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