Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Spring 2019, Question 44

Study guide: Exam MAS-II

You are given the following statements regarding deterministic and stochastic trends:

  • I. Deterministic trends can be modeled using regression.
  • II. Stochastic trends usually have a plausible, physical explanations such as an increase in population.
  • III. Short term extrapolation of deterministic trends can be justified by claiming that underlying trends will usually change slowly in comparison with the forecast lead time.

Determine which of the above statements are true.

  • A) None are true
  • B) I and II only
  • C) I and III only
  • D) II and III only
  • E) The answer is not given by (A), (B), (C) or (D)

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