Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam MAS-I Spring 2018, Question 45

Study guide: Exam MAS-II

You are given the following statements about time series:

  • I. Stochastic trends are characterized by explainable changes in direction.
  • II. Deterministic trends are better suited to extrapolation than stochastic trends.
  • III. Deterministic trends are typically attributed to high serial correlation with random error.

Determine which of the above statements are true.

  • A) I only
  • B) II only
  • C) III only
  • D) I, II and III
  • E) The answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D)

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