Actuarial Notes

CAS Exam 9 Spring 2016, Question 14

Study guide: Exam 9

Given the following information for an insurer's property-casualty line of business for accident year 2015:

  • The risk-free rate is 2%.
  • The new money yield is 6%.
  • The insurer has the following projected loss reserve payout pattern:
Development Year 1 2 3
Percentage Paid 27.3% 33.7% 19.0%

The remaining liabilities are paid out evenly over the following two years.

  • Losses are paid at the end of each year.

Part a (1 point)

Calculate the Macaulay duration for the accident year 2015 loss reserves.

Part b (0.5 points)

The company is considering funding this liability with a bond portfolio having a duration equal to the duration of loss reserves. Explain if this is an appropriate choice if the inflation rate is currently 3%.

Part c (1 point)

Explain why having mismatched duration of assets and liabilities is not necessarily a major problem for P&C insurers, and identify a situation when it becomes a problem.

No current syllabus covers this question; it is kept for the record.

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